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Stay on the couch.
Blame the model.

Structured model-versus-book numbers, wrapped so a chatbot can make the tough calls while you scroll. Register free for one pick. The season pass unlocks the file for the whole week. We did the frowning. You outsource the dignity.

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Week 10 2026 · Live slate
Games 14 on this slate
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Season receipts

26-20-2

When it argues with the book

2026 weeks 1 through 10. When the model argues with Vegas, it wins about 57% of the time. When it agrees, it's a coin flip. We're as surprised as you.

Overall against the number 70-63-4
When it agrees with the book 44-40-1
Week report card

For entertainment and information only. No wagering, no prizes, no guarantees.

Receipts: Ten points apart. The record includes the misses.

2026 weeks 1 through 10. Every final where the model and DraftKings were 10 or more points apart. The record is 5-1-0.

2026 week 3 SEA @ WSH 10+ apart Books: SEA by 8.5. Model pick: WSH. Final: WSH 33, SEA 31. Dog won outright and covered. You: still on the couch.
2026 week 4 MIA @ MIN 10+ apart Books: MIN by 10.0. Model pick: MIA. Final: MIN 15, MIA 10. Model side covered. You: still on the couch.
2026 week 5 PHI @ JAX 10+ apart Books: JAX by 7.5. Model pick: PHI. Final: JAX 19, PHI 17. Model side covered. You: still on the couch.
2026 week 3 CIN @ PIT 10+ apart Books: CIN by 3.5. Model pick: PIT. Final: PIT 30, CIN 27. Dog won outright and covered. You: still on the couch.
2026 week 3 CAR @ CLE 10+ apart Books: CAR by 2.5. Model pick: CLE. Final: CLE 21, CAR 18. Dog won outright and covered. You: still on the couch.
2026 week 9 JAX @ BAL 10+ apart Books: JAX by 9.5. Model pick: BAL. Final: JAX 33, BAL 10. Model side did not cover. You: still on the couch.

Next week is just a file. You know what to do.

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Past results. Not financial advice. Gamble responsibly.

Upset alert

The model likes the other team.

The model either knows something or it needs a nap.

This week's alert JAX @ TEN DraftKings JAX -10.5 Model picks TEN by 1.9 12.4 edge

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